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Tuesday, February 07, 2006

Outrageous 

Get ready for some outrage: the initial odds on Super Bowl XLI are out. The Colts, to my surprise, are the odds-on favorite to win at 4/1:

Indianapolis: 4/1
New England: 4/1
Seattle: 5/1
Pittsburgh: 6/1
Carolina: 6/1


Let's start by noting that the Steelers, Panthers and Pats are all good picks.

I'm not so sure about the Seahawks for historical reasons: they played a weak schedule in 2005 and the Super Bowl loser usually falls off dramatically the next year: the '05 Eagles went 6-10, and the '04 Panthers, the '03 Bucs, the '02 Rams, and the '01 Giants all went 7-9. Not a good pick.

I'm amazed that the Colts are the money pick to make it to XLI. Huh? They blew their game against the Steelers in spectacular fashion, Edgerin [sic] James wants out ... this team isn't that talented and it's got a lot of psychological baggage associated with it.

What catches me by surprise is the fact that the Eagles are tied for thirteenth, at 20/1. The fact that the oddsmakers put the Cowboys (10/1), the Giants (15/1), the Bears (15/1), and the Bengals (18/1) as better bets to win the Super Bowl is borderline outrageous. The 'Boys didn't make the playoffs and need help at QB. The G-men are badly overrated. The Bears? The very idea that the Bears are more talented than the Eagles is an insult. The Bengals? Their hopes rest squarely on Carson Palmer's knee. Good luck.

The Eagles tied with the Dolphins and Redskins for 13th. The notion that the Dolphins are just as good a pick for the Super Bowl as the Eagles is ridiculous: they don't have a QB, play in the same division as the Pats, etc. They need a lot of work before they become competitive. The 'Skins have a lot of issues too: can they move the ball without running? I don't think so.

I hope these sort of rankings provoke a lot of anger with the Eagles. Just one year removed from the Super Bowl and four consecutive division titles / NFC title games, this team has no respect whatsoever. Nobody believes in them. Nobody fears them. Everyone assumes that Donovan's best days are behind him and that the Birds are finished.

Bull----. Get angry people! Click here to read the rankings for yourself.

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